17 March | 2002 | Subject Middle East & North Africa (MENA)
The medium was television, and the channel BBC2. The programme was Newsnight, and the presenter Kirsty Wark. The date was 11 March2002 , and the sombre occasion the six-month anniversary of the wanton terrorist attack on the Twin Towers in New York. The theme was the speech delivered by President Bush, and the upshot that the status quo with Iraq was no longer acceptable. War had become inevitable - we were told - and no later than the end of this year.
The short exchange of viewpoints between the three participants in the Newsnight studio focused not so much on whether a phase-two attack on Iraq was imminent but on the conditions that would render feasible a broad coalition for such a war. All three participants made distinctions between President Saddam Hussein as a vile and dangerous leader, and the suffering that the hapless people of Iraq have been enduring for well over a decade.
Another point emerging from the discussion was a consensus that the Arab and Muslim streets would not tolerate an attack on an Arab country. After all, Iraq has been peddling its own brand of nationalism and resistance toward the USA ever since the last Gulf war when the ‘father’ pulled back from toppling the Iraqi leader.
Finally, the interviewees made the association - one apparently raised by PM Tony Blair with US Vice President Dick Cheney in London last week - that an attack on Iraq must go hand in hand with a resolution of the Israeli-Palestinian conflict. In other words, it was high time to impose a solution upon Palestinians and Israelis alike.
Let me start with the first point! There is little doubt in my own mind that President Saddam Hussein is a ruthless but wily leader. Like some other leaders the world over, he has amassed immense power at the expense of his own people - often wiping them out with impunity and without equivocation. The marshes are replete with his murderous testimony.
However, he is not alone in the world to have grossly misused - and abused - power. There are other countries with ‘evil’ records both within the so-called American ‘axis of evil’ and elsewhere across different continents! Targeting Iraq as the sole source of all [chemical, biological and traditional] evil reeks of personal vendetta, and is ill fitting of a super-powerful democracy. But perhaps more importantly, other primary measures ought to be taken first in order to bring Saddam to account rather than heaping further misery upon the people of this fertile and once-rich country!
No matter how insufferably harsh the Iraqi regime has been against its own people, and regardless of the potential menace to neighbouring states, it is a fact nonetheless that the sanctions against it have had a deleterious and damaging impact on the Iraqi people. A rich country whose proud citizens once enjoyed many benefits - Christian Aid is a church-based organisation that can say much about Iraq today - has been brought down to its knees through sanctions that have induced massive misery. However, if the sole target were to get rid of Saddam Hussein, I would suggest that removing the regime of sanctions would in itself break Saddam’s power-base or control and get shot of him as leader.
As far as Arab and Muslim reactions are concerned, I believe that the majority will view an attack on Iraq with cynical resignation. In my opinion, and given other precedents, the European fear of a negative reaction far outweighs the actual reaction itself. Sad as it may seem, the majority of the masses will come to accept this war too - just as they have accepted previous wars - with eloquent verbosity and furious impotence! Perhaps anti-Americanism as a large-scale feeling will become even stronger, and anti-Israeli sentiments will rise another decibel or two, but the people of the Middle East are simply too weary to do much else at this stage. Besides, even if ‘the masses’ were to react with protests, many of the ruling regimes will deploy those measures necessary to control, mute and even stifle any unrest - just as the Spanish police did with the anti-globalisation demonstrators at the Barcelona summit earlier this week.
However, what I do fear much more seriously is that an attack on Iraq could cause large-scale regional destabilisation once this country is hewn into small parcels of land. Whether coming from within the variegated ethnic pockets in Iraq itself, or from its neighbours, the map of the region could well shift dramatically. And should it all go horribly wrong, the implosion would generate a domino-type effect that could lead to incalculable tectonic changes in the whole region.
Finally, the third dimension of the television discussion regarding the Israeli-Palestinian conflict becomes a potent factor too. There are strong - and quite justifiable - Arab and Muslim perceptions that the USA applies double standards when it comes to its treatment of Iraq and Israel in terms of their non-implementation of UNSC resolutions. I tend to agree that the legal nature of those resolutions - one sets out principles, the other specifies mandates - are not stricto sensu of equal enforceability under International law. However, the USA can only garner regional support for an attack against Iraq if it ensures that the Israeli-Palestinian conflict is also dealt with too - urgently and honestly.
I believe quite strongly that the Israeli-Palestinian conflict remains at the very epicentre of any stability in the whole region. As such, and looking at the recent Israeli incursions into Palestinian territory, I can detect a scenario that is painstakingly unfolding despite the concomitant loss of life, mayhem and carnage. In the past few weeks, I have maintained that the conflict is peaking toward some resolution. Indeed, the arrival of General Anthony Zinni to the region last Thursday - for an indeterminate period of time and with a small number of monitors - heralded perhaps the possibility of some sort of an outcome that oversteps a mere cease-fire and aims for a broader resolution.
And some facts are indicative of this peak. For instance, the UN Security Council for the first time passed a resolution on 12 March 2002 calling for a Palestinian state alongside Israel. The UN-drafted and Ireland-managed landmark document ‘affirming a vision’ of a Palestinian state was backed by 14 out of 15 members of the Security Council. Resolution 1397 demanded the ‘immediate cessation of all acts of violence, including terror, provocation, incitement and destruction’ and urged Israel and the Palestinians ‘to take steps toward resuming peace talks’. Earlier, the UN Secretary-General Kofi Annan had described the suicide attacks against Israeli civilian targets as ‘morally repugnant’. He had also added that he was ‘profoundly disturbed’ by Israel’s use if heavy weaponry in civilian areas and its use of a whole batch of repressive measures against Palestinians in the occupied let alone ‘autonomous’ Palestinian territories. A declaration along similar lines, and in support of the Saudi paper, was also adopted at the EU Summit in Barcelona.
So in an effort to help nudge forward the process for peace between Israel and Palestinians, let me suggest a few facts, debunk a few myths and posit a few imperatives. In so doing, I rely not only on my identity as an Armenian Christian from Jerusalem but also on my years-long experience and involvement in forgiveness, conciliation and peacemaking.
This week, the Geneva-based World Council of Churches, the America-based Churches for Peace in the Middle East and the Administrative Committee of the US Conference of Catholic Bishops, issued statements of concern about the situation in the Holy Land. Will their prophetic voices be heard in the midst of this latest round of diplomatic brouhaha? Will they make a dent in the moral argument today? Or are we driving on a road leading to nowhere?
Perhaps the renewing symbolism of the two blue-light beams in the skies of Manhattan - life, spirit, love and regeneration - should become an inspiration for Israelis, Palestinians and the international community alike. The latest chapter of fighting has proven that the Palestinians remain untamed, unbowed and unbroken despite the huge military retaliations and on-going repression of the past thirty-four years of occupation. What they are asking for is an end to the occupation so that peace with justice, and dignity with security, can be achieved for the two peoples and three religions of this hallowed land. After all, are Palestinians and Israelis not subjects to the same God?
Failing that, the dialogue being sought by negotiators, mediators and conciliators the likes of General Anthony Zinni will be no more than two separate monologues that will not intersect at any given point in time or space.
Israelis and Palestinians are on the brink of the abyss! - Terje Larsen, UN Special Envoy in the Middle East
© Dr Harry Hagopian | 2002 | 17 March